Virginia · U.S. Senate
VA Class 2 Senate seat
Coverage: this seat is included in the 2026 national listing.
Candidate source
Candidate source: Virginia Department of Elections — November 3, 2026 - Federal Offices - Candidate List (rev 9-14-2026) (retrieved 2026-09-28). Absence of a candidate row is never evidence that a race has no candidates.
How the candidate list was checked
Rows read from the official source: 38 · published here: 38 · left out by rule: 0 · held back for review: 0. 38 data rows parsed from xlsx sheet 'Candidates' (header row excluded from source_rows_seen). All 11 house districts present; 2 statewide senate rows included because the same official state source lists the US Senate contest (Warner seat, Class II up in 2026). Full-page HTML mirror also archived at raw/candidates/va/va_federal_offices_page.html.
Hot Races · statewide: the 2024 presidential result in this state was D+5.9, #6 closest of 41 statewide 2026 contests. Neither is a forecast of this race. How the list works
Boundaries and sources
County–district classifications come from official block-assignment files, cross-checked against Census representations; render geometry is display-only.
Current officeholder
The current officeholder has not been confirmed in this edition. This does not establish that the seat is vacant.
Upcoming contests
2026-11-03 — general
Bert Mizusawa · Republican
Qualified for the general-election ballot
Mark R. Warner · Democratic
Qualified for the general-election ballot
Polling
Mark Warner (Democrat) against Bert Mizusawa (Republican). Too few polls in the last 30 days for an average: we need at least 3 polls from 2 pollsters.
A poll average describes what recent surveys found. Each poll has its own sampling error, larger for smaller samples. The average is not a forecast and not a probability. Matchup: certified candidate list. 5 polls in the source were left out: party-sponsored or internal polls, other matchups, duplicate versions of the same poll, or polls missing who was surveyed.
All 1 polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Mark Warner | Bert Mizusawa | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Public Sentiment Institute | June 12, 2026 – June 16, 2026 | — likely voters | 50% | 33% | D+17.0 |
PrivateVoteHub Polls from the VoteHub Polling API, retrieved October 7, 2026, used under CC BY 4.0. How polls are chosen
Economic profile of the state this seat represents
FederalCensus Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 (5-year) · survey period 2020-2024 · State of Virginia
- Median household income$93,170± $458
- Poverty rate9.9%± 0.2 ppPopulation for whom poverty status is determined
- Rent burden (30%+ of income on gross rent)48.5%± 0.5 ppRenter-occupied households paying cash rent for which rent burden is computed
- Homeownership rate67.3%± 0.4 ppOccupied housing units
- Bachelor's degree or higher (age 25+)42.2%± 0.2 ppPopulation 25 years and over
Technical definitions (ACS tables)
- Rent burden (30%+ of income on gross rent)
- Renter-occupied households paying cash rent for which rent burden is computed: B25070_001 minus B25070_011 (Not computed)
This seat's geography is exactly coterminous with its state (or the District), so the state estimates from the same edition apply directly.
Structural five-year survey conditions — not current monthly conditions. Uncertainties are 90% margins of error: the published ACS margin for median income; Census-formula approximations (ACS handbook ch. 8) for the rates. “Margin unavailable” means the source supplies no usable margin — never zero.
Campaign finances
2025-2026 two-year period (FEC cycle 2026). Committee totals are the FEC’s own candidate-level aggregation — never summed from committee rows here. Independent spending is reported separately and is never part of a candidate’s receipts. An FEC registration is not proof of ballot qualification; candidacy status comes verbatim from the accepted release.
General election · November 3, 2026
“No matching FEC candidate record” means no filing was located — it is never evidence that a candidacy does not exist, and never a ballot-status claim. Candidates’ coverage dates can differ; each row carries its own.
Current officeholder — Congress.gov context
Mark R. Warner · Democratic · Virginia · served in 9 Congresses since 2009
Identity verified against the official Congress.gov member record (Bioguide W000805), recorded through 2026-10-04T02:54:23Z. Current officeholding is separate from 2026 candidacy status. Official member website.
Recent housing, employment, energy and infrastructure legislation
From the member's sponsored then cosponsored legislation lists (newest first, limit 30 each), the newest items whose CONFIRMED official legislative subjects intersect {Housing and Community Development, Labor and Employment, Energy, Transportation and Public Works, Water Resources Development} are selected, at most 3 sponsored and 2 cosponsored, 5 total. Items whose relevance cannot be confirmed via the official /subjects endpoint are omitted.
- S.5187-119 — PHD Talent Act of 2026sponsor latest action 2026-07-30: Read twice and referred to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. · subjects: Energy
- S.5055-119 — National Workforce Transition Fund Act of 2026sponsor latest action 2026-07-21: Read twice and referred to the Committee on Finance. · subjects: Labor and Employment
- S.3258-119 — Aviation Medication Transparency Act of 2026cosponsor latest action 2026-10-01: Held at the desk. · subjects: Transportation and Public Works
Sponsorship is a record of introduction or support — not passage, effectiveness, or economic impact.
Counties and this district
County boundaries for this seat are not published in this release. Explore individual counties on the county map.